Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.022313 1.148083 1.285012 1.445441 1.628603 1.831604 2.074192
2026-02-01 0.787652 0.945661 1.130975 1.365401 1.655515 2.004647 2.459444
2026-02-08 0.646853 0.818267 1.031434 1.318155 1.696984 2.184887 2.868128
2026-02-15 0.552973 0.730078 0.961214 1.288423 1.745295 2.368857 3.298623
2026-02-22 0.504894 0.692293 0.947581 1.325977 1.881487 2.681146 3.945155
2026-03-01 0.458855 0.649999 0.920237 1.337199 1.976997 2.942737 4.551757
2026-03-08 0.410152 0.597450 0.870842 1.307615 2.004228 3.100672 5.015239
2026-03-15 0.369208 0.551441 0.825196 1.276576 2.022361 3.242322 5.467586
2026-03-22 0.354023 0.542519 0.834193 1.331122 2.183018 3.634265 6.407104
2026-03-29 0.336933 0.528576 0.833266 1.368277 2.317410 3.996874 7.349522
2026-04-05 0.319870 0.512808 0.827374 1.395518 2.436415 4.345693 8.320184
2026-04-12 0.299871 0.490225 0.807707 1.395986 2.505952 4.610406 9.164848
2026-04-19 0.276199 0.460400 0.774680 1.372211 2.533685 4.811236 9.941008
2026-04-26 0.249481 0.423139 0.725506 1.313834 2.488569 4.863747 10.412706
2026-05-03 0.228519 0.394255 0.688666 1.274793 2.476901 4.983194 11.058922
2026-05-10 0.211530 0.371059 0.660035 1.248420 2.487455 5.150615 11.849649
2026-05-17 0.204436 0.365349 0.663300 1.285546 2.635756 5.640606 13.527829
2026-05-24 0.194729 0.353871 0.654429 1.296716 2.728999 6.019843 15.004719
2026-05-31 0.181358 0.334293 0.628039 1.268250 2.729853 6.182116 15.937177
2026-06-07 0.169035 0.315797 0.602227 1.238296 2.723441 6.325675 16.848713
2026-06-14 0.166202 0.315792 0.613674 1.291029 2.918379 7.001785 19.452789
2026-06-21 0.161802 0.312254 0.617472 1.326939 3.077484 7.612338 22.013169
2026-06-28 0.156764 0.306992 0.617146 1.353263 3.216256 8.192133 24.625987